Saturday, May 16, 2009

Preakness Day, 3 p.m.

The sun has finally come out at "Old Hilltop" and it feels like a humid early summer day outside. The rain still so far is staying off to the West of Baltimore so the track could well remain dry for the Preakness Stakes.

The infield crowd continues to be well below normal which is disheartening.

No real big change in the odds with three hours to go.

Rachel Alexandra remains the 9-5 favorite while Derby winner Mine That Bird and Pioneerof the Nile are 6-1.

The value still remains with Musket Man (14-1), Friesan Fire (9-1) and Papa Clem (15-1).

I have yet to hear why the true longshots going in the race are not longshots. Luv Gov was 50-1 in the morning line and is now 22-1. WHY????

Same can be said for Flying Private (50-1 ML, 25-1 now) and Tone It Down (50-1 ML, 20-1 n0w.)

I know people don't believe in Mine That Bird but if you are unsure about the Derby winner, why would you put your money into a horse that ran last in the "Run for the Roses", just won his first race in 10 tries or has never beaten any significant competition in Maryland.

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